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The risk library  /  Where the premium goes

Art. 15 · Where the premium goes · 3 min read

People buy insurance emotionally

These are the ordinary mental shortcuts everyone uses under uncertainty. They have a predictable price, and it is payable every year.

Anchoring. The renewal invitation arrives with last year's number on it, and every subsequent thought happens relative to that number. A 6% increase feels like the question. Whether the original figure was ever right does not come up.

£10k £20k £30k what the risk costs £11k – £15k LAST YEAR: £24,000 this year's quotes everything is judged from here The quotes cluster around the anchor, not around the risk. So does the conversation.
Fig. 17 · Anchoring is not a failure of intelligence; it is what a reference point does to judgement. The defence is to form your own number before the invitation arrives.

Vividness. Fire is easy to picture, so it feels likely. An employment tribunal, a professional negligence allegation or a serious data breach are hard to picture and feel remote, and are, for many businesses, considerably more probable. We insure what we can imagine.

Availability. A supplier down the road had a flood, so flood moves to the top of the agenda for eighteen months. One nearby event does more to change buying behaviour than any amount of national data.

Loss framing. Raising an excess from £1,000 to £10,000 feels like giving something up, even when the premium saving is worth more than the exposure. Taking cover away feels like a loss; the money saved feels like an abstraction.

Inertia. Renewing is one email. Reviewing is a week of work. The default wins, year after year, and the drift compounds.

The fix is not to try harder to be rational in the meeting. It is to change when the thinking happens: decide against numbers you prepared before you saw the price.

Use it

  • Write your own view first. A month before renewal, write down what you think each risk is worth and what you would be willing to carry. Then open the invitation.
  • Review the boring policies. The ones nobody has an emotional reaction to are where the drift accumulates.
  • Put the excess decision in money. "£10,000 excess saves £4,300 a year" is a decision. "Raising the excess" is a feeling.

Want this run against your own numbers?

We put ranges, not single figures, against the risks your business actually carries.

Speak with an expert

Explanatory content only. This article describes how insurance and risk decisions work in general terms; it is not insurance, legal, actuarial, or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation to buy, keep or cancel any cover. Every figure and diagram is illustrative, chosen to make a mechanism visible, not to describe any particular business.