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The risk library  /  What a risk costs

Art. 06 · What a risk costs · 3 min read

Total cost of risk, not premium

Businesses optimise the one number that arrives on an invoice and ignore the three that do not.

Ask a business what its insurance costs and you will get the premium. The premium is one of four components, and frequently not the largest.

One: premium. Visible, invoiced, negotiated annually, and the only one most businesses track.

Two: excesses actually paid. Every claim you made where the first slice came out of your own pocket. Visible in the bank statement, rarely added up.

Three: losses you swallowed. The damage below the excess, the claim you decided not to make because of what it would do to next year's premium, the write-off nobody logged. This is the invisible one, and in most businesses it is substantial.

Four: prevention and administration. Alarms, locks, inspections, training, the time your finance director spends at renewal. Money spent to make the other three smaller.

TRACKED USUALLY INVISIBLE £24,000 Premium Excesses Uninsured losses Prevention £24,000 £6,200 £11,400 £4,300 TOTAL COST OF RISK £45,900
  • Premium: on the invoice
  • Losses you carried yourself
  • Spent to reduce the rest
Fig. 7 · Illustrative figures for a mid-sized business. The premium is 52% of the real cost of risk. Cutting it by £2,000 while pushing £5,000 into the invisible column looks like a saving and isn't.

Once you total all four, a lot of familiar arguments resolve themselves. A higher excess is not automatically cheaper. It moves money from column one to column two, and whether that is a good trade depends on how often you claim. A cheaper policy with more exclusions moves money into column three, where nobody will see it. Prevention spend looks like a cost in column four and is only justified by what it removes from the others.

Use it

  • Build a three-year table. Four rows, three columns of years. Most of it comes from your accounts; the uninsured-loss row will need a conversation with operations.
  • Start logging the third column now. Even a shared spreadsheet with a date, a description and a rough figure. In a year you will have something no broker can give you.
  • Judge every change against the total. "Does this reduce the total cost of risk" is a different and better question than "does this reduce the premium."

Want this run against your own numbers?

We put ranges, not single figures, against the risks your business actually carries.

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Explanatory content only. This article describes how insurance and risk decisions work in general terms; it is not insurance, legal, actuarial, or investment advice, and it is not a recommendation to buy, keep or cancel any cover. Every figure and diagram is illustrative, chosen to make a mechanism visible, not to describe any particular business.